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Bitcoin (BTC) fooled no one with its criss-crossing of $40,000 on April 15 as traders remained firmly risk-off on BTC.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Bitcoin returns to key 2022 Fib level

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD bouncing modestly after returning to the $39,500 zone on April 14.

The move erased an impulse move higher from earlier in the week, underscoring the lack of bullish market momentum despite conspicuous demand for Bitcoin among institutional buyers.

For popular trader Crypto Ed, there was reason to believe that further downside would soon ensue. Current levels, he warned viewers in his latest YouTube update, did not constitute a suitable ground for a long position.

“With the upcoming weekend, I would be very careful longing here,” he summarized.

In the event, BTC/USD reached around $40,400 before reversing to trade at around $40,150 at the time of writing on April 15.

Markets commentator Miles Johal meanwhile noted that the pair was now interacting with the 0.75 Fibonacci level, this having been a support feature throughout 2022.

United States financial markets were closed on the day for the Good Friday holiday, sparing crypto traders correlated price moves.

Remember the supercycle?

Elsewhere, excitement was brewing once again over the concept of Bitcoin being in a so-called “supercycle.”

Related: Bitcoin bulls need to reclaim $41K ahead of Friday’s $615M BTC options expiry

Previously popular, the concept revolves around viewing BTC price action as more than a product of its roughly four-year halving cycles.

Doing so, some suggest, explains why Q4 2021 — the year after Bitcoin’s latest block subsidy halving — failed to produce the “blow-off top” common to previous post-halving years.

Instead, BTC/USD could just be in a consolidation phase with the majority of its upside still to come.

“Interesting. Maybe we never got the blow-off top…because it hasn’t happened yet,” Josh Olszewicz, head of research at alternative asset management firm Valkyrie reacted.

The supercycle comparison chart was originally posted to Twitter earlier in the week.

Bitcoin supercycle chart. Source: Nihkalowz/ Twitter

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.